Raws li cov ntaub ntawv tso tawm los ntawm General Administration of Customs rau hnub Tuesday, Tuam Tshoj tau coj 1.594 lab tons ntawm tooj liab ore thiab tsom rau lub Rau Hli. Txij Lub Ib Hlis Ntuj txog Lub Rau Hli, Suav tau muab cov khoom tooj liab li 10.84 lab tons thiab nws cov khoom lag luam zoo, nce ntxiv ntawm 3.0% xyoo-rau-xyoo.
Tuam Tshoj' s ntshuam tsis tsim tooj liab thiab tooj liab thaum Lub Rau Hli yog 656,483.0 tons; kev lag luam ntshuam ntawm cov tooj liab tsis xeb thiab tooj liab nyob rau lub Rau Hli-Lub Rau Hli yog 2,841,047.4 tons, ib xyoos dhau ntawm 25.2%.
Peb ntseeg tias cov tooj liab uas tsis tau tsim nyob rau lub Rau Hli pom qhov tseem ceeb ntawm lub xyoo dhau los ntawm cov laj thawj hauv qab no:
1) Lub Tsib Hlis, electrolytic tooj liab ntsaws qhov rai qhib rau lub sijhawm ntev, thiab cov txiaj ntsig ntshuam tau loj. Cov txiaj ntsig ntshuam hauv Lub Tsib Hlis rau ntev ntev tshaj 250 yuan / ton, thiab qhov siab tshaj plaws txawm mus txog 640 yuan / tuj; tshwj xeeb, thaum tus tub luam qhib lub qhov rais Xee npe rau ntau qhov kev txiav txim, ntxiv rau qhov muaj feem ntau ntawm cov khoom lag luam txawv teb chaws, cov tub luam tseem thauj cov tooj liab hluav taws xob los ntawm LME lub tsev rau khoom lag luam mus rau lub tebchaws. Txij li thaum kawg ntawm lub Plaub Hlis, LME cov khoom lag luam tooj liab tau txuas ntxiv mus rau qhov tsis zoo, thiab tag nrho cov khoom muag tau poob ntawm kwv yees li 260,000 tons mus txog tam sim no 176,000 tons (Lub Xya Hli 13), ntawm uas poob hauv Asian stocks yog qhov pom tau tshaj plaws, los ntawm kwv yees li 120,000 tons rau 1.87 Qhov txheeb ze keeb kwm qis ntawm 10,000, cov khoom lag luam nyob hauv thaj av Asian thaum lub Rau Hli kawg poob los ntawm 58,000 tons txij thaum xaus lub Tsib Hlis. Saib kev khwv nyiaj txiag rov qab ntawm cov teb chaws Asia, kuv lub teb chaws yog tus coj, thiab kev lag luam rov qab tau tau ruaj khov thiab suab nrov. Kev lag luam pib dua tshiab ntawm lwm lub teb chaws thiab cheeb tsam me ntsis qab, yog li feem ntau ntawm cov tooj liab txuas ntxiv los ntawm Asian depots tau xa mus rau Tuam Tshoj. Txawm li cas los xij, vim muaj qee yam xws li kev thauj khoom raws sijhawm, qhov ntau ntawm cov tooj liab txawv teb tsis tau muab pov tseg rau lub khw nyob hauv tsev txog thaum Lub Rau Hli. Raws li SMM, muaj teeb meem tsis xwm yeem nyob rau hauv kev xa khoom ntawm electrolytic tooj liab hauv Chile thiab Peru. Qee cov nkoj uas tau npaj thaum pib los txog Lub Tsib Hlis tau qeeb txog lub Rau Hli. Qhov kev nce ntawm kev thauj khoom ntawm tooj liab tooj liab nyob rau lub Tsib Hlis tau raug tsim txom thiab pauv mus rau Lub Rau Hli.
2) Lub Rau Hli, cov khw muag khoom lag luam hauv tsev pom cov nqi dej nce siab. Lub Rau Hli, tus nqi nruab nrab txhua hli ntawm Shanghai Pingshui Tooj Liab yog 69.5 yuan / ton, thiab tus nqi txhua hli ntawm tooj liab zoo yog 104.5 yuan / ton. Lub Rau Hli, qhov nruab nrab txhua hli tus nqi ntawm Guangdong Pingshui Tooj Liab yog 179,5 yuan / tuj. Tons, qhov nruab nrab txhua hli tus nqi ntawm cov tooj liab zoo yog 204 yuan / ton, uas nws ntau dua ntau tshaj li tus nqi ntev xwb; los ntawm qhov no, dej siab yog lwm qhov laj thawj tseem ceeb rau cov neeg tuaj nqa khoom nce kev lis kev cai.
3) Qhov nce ntawm qhov yuav tsum tau ntim ntau ntxiv rau blister tooj liab thiab tooj liab ntau rau lub Rau Hli yog tseem muaj lwm qhov tseem ceeb rau qhov kev nce nqi ntawm qhov ntshuam ntxiv ntawm cov neeg tsis tuaj yeem ua kom tooj liab thiab tooj liab. Thaum pib ntawm lub xyoo, cov nqi ntawm cov khoom siv tooj liab thiab tooj liab uas tuaj yeem xa tawm los ntawm cov teb chaws cuam tshuam los ntawm qhov kev sib kis tau muaj tsawg, tab sis txij li lub Tsib Hlis, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyob rau South Africa thiab Namibia (Tuam Tshoj txoj kev xa khoom ntawm cov tooj liab nyoos los ntawm ob lub teb chaws dhau los suav. rau ntau dua 45%), deregulation, Lub ntim xa tawm ntawm cov hlwv tooj liab thiab tooj liab tau pib nce ntxiv, thiab cov khoom xa tawm tau hais los saum toj no maj mam ntws mus rau hauv lub teb chaws txij thaum nruab nrab ntawm Lub Rau Hli, suav txog lub sijhawm xa khoom ntau dua li ib hlis Cov.
Saib rau lub Xya Hli, peb ntseeg tias qhov ntim kev lag luam ntawm cov tooj liab tsis tsim nyog nyob rau lub Xya Hli yuav qis dua qhov ntawd nyob rau lub Rau Hli (lub sijhawm rau lub qhov rais ntshuam qhib tau txo), tab sis nws tseem yuav nce xyoo-rau-xyoo.
Qhov laj thawj tseem ceeb yog vim li cas tooj liab ua kom cov khoom siv txuas ntxiv poob qis yog tias Asmeskas Qab Teb yog lub hauv paus rau tooj liab ntau rau kev siv hauv Suav teb. Lub cev nqaij daim tawv ntshuam tuaj ntawm Chile thiab Peru suav txog 54% ntawm Tuam Tshoj' s tag nrho cov tooj liab mloog zoo tuaj ntsauv khoom thaum lub Tsib Hlis; Txawm li cas los xij, cov xwm txheej kis mob hauv ob lub teb chaws saum toj no tau tswj hwm tsis zoo. Cov chaw haujlwm hauv thaj chaw hauv thaj chaw tsis siab, thiab txawm tias qee qhov mines tseem raug kaw, thiab qhov chaw nres nkoj qhov xa khoom tsawg. Cov no yog cov yam tseem ceeb uas ua rau kev muab cov tooj liab tsom rau kom nruj. Cov kev siv ntawm kev mloog zoo yuav poob qis ntxiv. (SMM)
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